Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.985309 1.201149 1.431655 1.694072 1.982566 2.288264 2.634912
2024-10-27 0.754308 1.056913 1.403964 1.822767 2.306544 2.840851 3.468896
2024-11-03 0.640550 0.990780 1.412325 1.939963 2.567507 3.276871 4.126918
2024-11-10 0.552465 0.938711 1.424603 2.052305 2.817103 3.697812 4.769149
2024-11-17 0.486988 0.901383 1.443336 2.162206 3.055308 4.098859 5.383008
2024-11-24 0.409899 0.835342 1.415705 2.206867 3.209135 4.397032 5.875078
2024-12-01 0.334184 0.758402 1.363914 2.212746 3.308989 4.626237 6.282513
2024-12-08 0.251751 0.656057 1.266095 2.149391 3.314959 4.736634 6.544402
2024-12-15 0.185634 0.566173 1.175642 2.087391 3.315911 4.835755 6.788637
2024-12-22 0.138977 0.499332 1.111178 2.054352 3.348977 4.970378 7.072367
2024-12-29 0.113060 0.466498 1.095176 2.086475 3.465738 5.208435 7.481971
2025-01-05 0.087718 0.427714 1.065349 2.095687 3.549895 5.404151 7.838926
2025-01-12 0.059230 0.373373 1.008401 2.068486 3.592490 5.558329 8.160561
2025-01-19 0.055689 0.384272 1.065082 2.213254 3.873227 6.021941 8.873134
2025-01-26 0.051157 0.390600 1.112877 2.344139 4.134714 6.460861 9.555187
2025-02-02 0.046468 0.394957 1.156822 2.469485 4.389453 6.892476 10.230134
2025-02-09 0.041999 0.398455 1.198735 2.591739 4.640358 7.319953 10.901159
2025-02-16 0.032175 0.378427 1.194650 2.641361 4.789314 7.614978 11.406152
2025-02-23 0.021458 0.346645 1.164577 2.647886 4.876264 7.828332 11.807874
2025-03-02 0.010101 0.295323 1.089160 2.577501 4.850931 7.892132 12.018593
2025-03-09 0.003448 0.249578 1.017742 2.508535 4.823941 7.951062 12.221018
2025-03-16 0.000759 0.216688 0.968281 2.471748 4.840057 8.064248 12.489791
2025-03-23 0.000140 0.203427 0.962058 2.507516 4.962256 8.319620 12.941835